Twice a year, the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) runs a Sharemarket Game (I’ll call it ‘The Game’ from here on in). There’s a public version for any adult and a school version for students. I’ve played it several times and I’ve sucked at it. The photo at the top of this post is how my portfolio performed the last time I played.
This has been a conundrum for me, given my real life experience with shares has mostly been successful.
I have gone back to my engineering training and done a root cause analysis (RCA) on why I can’t seem to do well at this game. I won’t bore you with the RCA diagram. I’ll skip straight to the bottom line, the root cause of my problem, and it is this:
I am lazy.
By nature, I am typically a long-term share investor. I want my money to grow, and I want it to pay me more money to keep me in the style to which I have become accustomed. I do not want to keep looking at it. For me, it’s akin to watching paint dry.
I prefer to buy shares and ignore them as they tick away in the background. While I’m not watching, I want them growing. I want my dividends reinvesting automatically. I only want to give them a passing thought once a year. That’s when I check on my personal finance statistics. For the uninitiated, these are:
- return on investment,
- debt to asset ratio, and
This is what I mean by lazy. I don’t have much interest in the daily monitoring of stock prices, or lengthy analyses of tickers and wave functions.
The Game runs for 15 weeks. This is a blink of an eye when you invest like I do. Long term strategies do not apply in this scenario – many shares won’t even earn a dividend in that period.
I know this about myself, and yet I start the game anyway. I begin, as we all do, with good intentions. I mentally commit to weekly monitoring and regular buy/sell activity. I grow bored and before I know it, I’m in the red and it’s the end of the game.
Thank goodness it’s virtual money I’m playing with, not my own, though is most likely why I tend to ignore it.
In light of this, would I recommend you play The Game? Does it matter whether you’re like me, or is The Game only relevant for the aspiring day traders among us?
Everyone should play.
You need to think about what you want to get out of it. Here’s my thoughts on how to get the most of The Game by playing it your way:
If you’ve never tried share investing and you’re even vaguely interested in it, you will get a lot out of The Game, such as:
- learning which stocks comprise the ASX200 (our top 200 companies by market capitalization – that’s how much they’re worth according to the number of shares and the price),
- looking at price graphs and trends so you get a feel for what the numbers are about,
- going through the process of putting on a trade. You’ll have to make decisions that you didn’t know you needed to make, such as: ‘Am I buying price to market, or a fixed quantity?’. These are the kinds of decisions that stump you when it’s your cash on the line and you haven’t considered them before,
- paying attention to timing of dividends – you’ll see for yourself whether the old ‘price drops after the dividend is paid’ adage, and
- that the stock market is a game in some ways, and it’s not logical. It’s driven by two emotional forces: fear and greed. Forcing logic on it employs economists, but it feels akin to the humors theory of medicine.
ASX has excellent educational materials, and The Game may give you the inspiration to check them out.
People who don’t like shares
I speak to intelligent people who love property but hate shares. They think it’s gambling, or inherently risky. I have trained myself not to sigh or shake them.
These beliefs usually come from:
- childhood – when you had parents drilling into you sayings like ‘buying shares is no better than gambling!’, or
- a bad experience – when you bought or sold the wrong share at the wrong time, and it cost you by stressing you out and eating into your capital.
All investment has risk. Property can represent even more risk, considering you need debt in most cases to buy it.
And now I’m going to be blunt: you need to get over it. Shares are a sensible inclusion in any investment portfolio. If you have superannuation invested in shares in any way, you need to know what’s going on with them. Are you off to check your superannuation allocation? I hope so.
So, this is your chance to get over your subconscious fears and phobias. Use a virtual $50,000 to motivate you into exploring the ASX and what companies are on there. And guess what – there are no rules that you need to invest real money at any time during or after the game. If you play and decide you’re going to stick to your ‘shares are gambling’ guns, at least you will have affirmed your beliefs. That’s got to be better than blindly following them like a knee-jerk reaction.
Long-term share investors (like me)
If you’ve bought shares before, you’ll know the ins and outs of buying and selling. Use this as an opportunity to look at some shares you haven’t examined before, and to consider the market as a whole. You might find a stock you’d like to add to your holdings, or spot a good time to sell something that’s underperforming in your portfolio.
And… you might win The Game. Wouldn’t that be fun. Imagine the bragging rights.
If you want to spice it up, you could follow my lead:
I’ll be trying something new (-ish, to me)
Buying the same kind of shares I buy with my own money is not going to work for me. I will instead be trend following (thank you Michael Covel). I’ll be trading the natural variation and volatility of specific shares, for sh*ts and giggles.
I’ve actually done this in real life already, albeit on a tiny scale. I’ve done two trades in the last 16 months using this theory. I did it because I was a bit bored. I’d paper-traded the strategy for several years (I’m an analytical engineer, remember). So I put some cash down – not much, but enough to keep me interested – followed some set rules and made 30% from the two trades. One took 181 days (net 13.4% gain), the other took 35 days (net 18.6% gain). I’m going to see if I can spot some other trades like that in The Game.
After all, I can’t do much worse than I have before.
Want to play?
If you like some friendly competition and the opportunity to poke fun at my strategies, join the Money School league. Enter:
- League ID: 18929
- Password: abc123
And if you REALLY want to get involved: join my closed Facebook group. This is where I will be sharing my analysis and decisions, and I hope the other players will too.
Lacey Filipich is the co-founder and director of Money School. She helps parents raise financially savvy kids and adults get on top of their finances. Connect with her on LinkedIn and follow the Money School Facebook page to learn more.